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Curious if people prefer to be the first offer for a kid or one that comes late to the game? We see the examples of Treadwell and Gareon Conley where we were in on them before anyone else, but now seem to be fading where that familiarity might actually be a negative.
We now see a potential to jump in on Reschke after not showing much attention early in the process (and this is still a longshot, but it is a possibility at this point).
So do you prefer being the first one to offer and risk losing ground as others jump in, or do you prefer waiting to offer and hoping the excitement factor is still there when they make a decision?
Definitely early offers. I'll take the few misses on early offers all the time. I don't feel its the familiarity that's hurting us with treadwell or Conley. With treadwell its simply we quit showing him the love after he flirted about committing to us in the summer and the coaches took notice of it. Conley I have no idea.
I'd like to wait until the summer before their senior year, but with the speed of recruiting now, we can't afford to offer late. If you want a big time national prospect, you have to offer early.
To get a better evaluation, I would like to wait. But the reality is, you can't wait anymore. You will lose some kids, but getting in early gets a leg up more often than not. McCray comes to mind. If we waited to offer when tOSU, he would have been tOSU bound. The lack of an offer did them in.
Early. It's the name of the game nowadays. We just won't be able to compete if we don't get in early. As much as I'd like the luxury of evaluating kids through their senior years, that's just not feasible anymore.
Also, approx. 85-90% of commits will stick, in the absence of a major scandal. I'd much rather suffer a few decommits while still keeping the vast majority of early commits, rather than having so many people come down to NSD.
However, if you build up a major program with national cachet and have a full 4-5 straight top recruiting classes (like Alabama has recently), you'll be able to reserve a greater proportion of your open spots in each class for late offers and guys who'll wait til NSD, simply because you can afford to miss a bit when you're reeling in otherwise excellent classes. We're not quite there yet, but two more classes like Hoke's first two and I think we'll definitely be there.
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