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Hypothesis: Just like the S16 round, we match up much better against the team we will see in the final (UL or WSU) than the team we will see in the semi-final (SYR)
We destroyed VCU. We dismantled UF. But we struggled with the uniqueness of KU because of their size inside. We were so focused on stopping Withey, we allowed their other players to get into the paint too often for easy buckets.
UL is a better version of VCU and UF. They will be a major challenge, but their natural tendency is to up the tempo and run. And that is exactly how we play best. And while their press defense can be problematic, we've seen it twice already (VCU and UF) in the tourney. We have the best backcourt in the country (including Albrecht) and if UL can't cause TOs they are an average team on both sides of the ball.
This post has been edited 4 times, most recently by MrWoodson 12 months ago
Louisville is not going to be easy at all. They are big, fast, and strong. The only real weakness they have is outside shooting, but their guards cannot be stopped. Our guards can break their zone, but can we score on their guards. That was the one team I didn't want to play. Here we go Shockers
"Those Who Stay...Will be Champions"
I wouldn't like anyone's chances against Louisville right now. I don't think we're a strong enough defensive team to stop them from attacking the rim. They also have the center whose name is slipping my mind that's a great shot blocker.
Gorgui Dieng. He's really turned it up this tournament too - he was 9/9 from the field through their first two games, and something like 11/15 in the last two. He finishes very well offensively, in addition to the shot-blocking and defense. He's also getting to the line a lot.
I think we can beat Cuse or Louisville, but if we have an off game we can easily lose either. I am not picking any games at this point...just go with the flow.
Withey was a great shot blocker too...but i do agree that louisville is going to be attacking the rim hard and driving the lanes. Michigan's defense is not good at defending that...it will be a battle
As of now UL is the best team in the country with us second IMO
Honestly, I think we beat Cuse and lose to Louisville. UL is just a juggernaut is so hard to exploit and with us having no depth...they'll just wear us down. They'll get to the rim at will and McGary isn't exactly a shot blocker. Only chance we'd have against them is to break their pressure and fall back into zone
I could see them getting Mitch in foul trouble early as well.
Eaaaaaaaaaaaaasy big fella. There are still two games left. Gotta get by a well-coached Syracuse team, then take on a Louisville team that's sliced through the field more swiftly than anyone.
Were fans, were allowed to get ahead of ourselves. The players on the other hand.....
In response to post above me.
This post was edited by Aces High 12 months ago
Prediction: If UM wins their next two games, they will win the NC
Don't forget that Louisville has only played Colorado State, Oregon and Duke, who I believed was a bad matchup on paper against the Cardinal. They have been impressive, but Michigan's road has been much more difficult and they've been arguably as impressive outside of one bad half against Kansas.
All I know is that if we can pull it off, I win my bracket pool
great predicition! I'm with you on this one
I like Michigan's chances against the 2-3 zone. You either beat it by hitting your 3-point shots, and/or beat it by dribble penetration. Michigan has excellent 3-point shooters, and has the best guard combination in the country. The key to the Syracuse game is TH Jr. He needs to be 'on' his game Saturday. If we hit our 3s, and the guards penetrate off the dribble, we should be good. As for Louisville ... let us win against Syracuse first.
“Those who stay will be champions”
― Bo Schembechler
The key to beating Syracuse is very simple.
Burke & Spike have to break into the passing lanes & dish the ball out. TH Jr, Stauskas & Burke have to hit the outside shot. I have seen Syracuse play a lot this year & they can get outrebounded pretty bad. Mitch can have a big game against Keita, Christmas. None of those have any type of post moves.
If UM gets up on Syracuse, then they have to speed up the game which could very well favor UM. Stats are what they are, it is simple Coach B is 0-9 against Jimmy B. Something has to give.
I will say one things in regards to the NC game if we advance:
I think we would have a good shot because of the short turnaround in between games. I think our offense is very good and diverse and would be too much to effectively prepare for in two days (one and a half might be closer).
A similar comparison is VCU's defense. Their defense is unique and you can't really prepare for it in two days. The way to beat it is stress ball security. Well we beat it easily because we stress ball security every single day in practice so in reality we had kind of always been preparing for it. However when they face other teams that turn the ball over on short notice the defense runs wild and they win.
I know it's a weird comparison but I actually think that's why we did better against Florida than we did Kansas, and we would do better in a hypothetical NC game than against Syracuse.
On the flip side of the coin I'd rather be facing Syracuse now than on short rest because Beilein has had plenty of time to work on attacking the zone.
"Isn't it amazing what somebody will do when he can't bunt." - Vin Scully
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